Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000692 0.000793 0.000900 0.001021 0.001155 0.001298 0.001461
2025-02-16 0.000527 0.000664 0.000820 0.001010 0.001232 0.001482 0.001784
2025-02-23 0.000448 0.000603 0.000786 0.001019 0.001301 0.001631 0.002041
2025-03-02 0.000388 0.000553 0.000758 0.001027 0.001364 0.001770 0.002288
2025-03-09 0.000326 0.000492 0.000707 0.000998 0.001375 0.001839 0.002446
2025-03-16 0.000276 0.000440 0.000660 0.000968 0.001379 0.001897 0.002588
2025-03-23 0.000243 0.000408 0.000637 0.000966 0.001416 0.001994 0.002780
2025-03-30 0.000216 0.000380 0.000616 0.000965 0.001452 0.002090 0.002969
2025-04-06 0.000190 0.000352 0.000591 0.000955 0.001474 0.002165 0.003133
2025-04-13 0.000166 0.000322 0.000562 0.000936 0.001481 0.002219 0.003269
2025-04-20 0.000154 0.000312 0.000561 0.000957 0.001544 0.002350 0.003509
2025-04-27 0.000142 0.000300 0.000556 0.000971 0.001595 0.002466 0.003731
2025-05-04 0.000124 0.000276 0.000530 0.000953 0.001602 0.002521 0.003873
2025-05-11 0.000108 0.000253 0.000505 0.000933 0.001605 0.002569 0.004005
2025-05-18 0.000099 0.000243 0.000499 0.000945 0.001653 0.002683 0.004232
2025-05-25 0.000091 0.000232 0.000491 0.000951 0.001694 0.002786 0.004445
2025-06-01 0.000078 0.000211 0.000464 0.000924 0.001681 0.002810 0.004545
2025-06-08 0.000067 0.000192 0.000438 0.000896 0.001665 0.002828 0.004635
2025-06-15 0.000060 0.000181 0.000427 0.000895 0.001690 0.002907 0.004815
2025-06-22 0.000054 0.000172 0.000417 0.000894 0.001716 0.002988 0.004999
2025-06-29 0.000048 0.000161 0.000403 0.000884 0.001727 0.003046 0.005150
2025-07-06 0.000042 0.000148 0.000385 0.000866 0.001723 0.003080 0.005265
2025-07-13 0.000039 0.000146 0.000388 0.000886 0.001783 0.003214 0.005533